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SKILAK GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE IS RELEASING, NO FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

October 7th, 2016

RESIDENTS ALONG THE KENAI RIVER, PARTICULARLY IN THE KENAI KEYS  AND BIG EDDY AREAS, SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WATER LEVELS WILL BE  RISING OVER THE WEEKEND INSTEAD OF FOLLOWING THE NORMAL TREND OF  DROPPING BEFORE WINTER. NOW IS THE TIME TO PLAN FOR HIGH WATER  AND TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS, INCLUDING SECURING EQUIPMENT AND  MOVING ITEMS TO HIGHER GROUND.

KENAI RIVER LEVELS AT THE OUTLET OF SKILAK LAKE HAVE BEEN SHOWING  A SLIGHT INCREASE OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS WHILE THE UPPER RIVER AT  COOPER LANDING CONTINUES TO STEADILY FALL. BASED ON CURRENT ESTIMATES  OF THE SKILAK GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE VOLUME AND THE LIKELY RELEASE  RATE, PEAK RIVER LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE  AT THE KENAI RIVER GAGE BELOW SKILAK LAKE OR AREAS DOWNSTREAM

WATER LEVELS ON SKILAK LAKE AND THE KENAI RIVER DOWNSTREAM FROM  SKILAK LAKE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY RISING THROUGH THE  WEEKEND WITH PEAK WATER LEVELS ON SKILAK LAKE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON  OR NEAR TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. SKILAK LAKE IS FORECAST TO RISE  APPROXIMATELY 2 TO 3 FEET WITH AREAS DOWNSTREAM ALONG THE KENAI  RIVER EXPECTED TO RISE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 FEET. IN SOME AREAS  ALONG THE LOWER KENAI RIVER WATER LEVELS MAY APPROACH BANKFULL.

NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO COINCIDE WITH THIS  GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE RELEASE EVENT. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN THE RATE  THAT THE GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE WILL DRAIN. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE  UPDATED AS NECESSARY IF THE LAKE APPEARS TO BE DRAINING FASTER OR  SLOWER THAN EXPECTED.

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